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Author Topic: My thoughts on the Tandem Driver and related theories  (Read 765 times)

fulkstop

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My thoughts on the Tandem Driver and related theories
« on: December 10, 2019, 12:36:50 pm »
Any theory that Maura's disappearance involved someone that Maura knew, whether in the role of her killer or a tandem driver, is based on the idea that this person found Maura after she crashed. For purposes of this post, I will call this person "Person B."

I have never seen a theory that Person B followed directly behind Maura. This is because witnesses who saw Maura did not see Witness B or another vehicle at the scene. So any theory involving Person B is based on one of the following theories:

1. Maura planned to meet Person B at a predetermined location and was on her way there when she crashed. This theory further splits into two theories: one that Person B, on route to the meeting spot, saw Maura and picked her up, and two, that Maura made it to the meeting place on her own either on foot or by getting a ride with a third party.

2. Maura planned to meet Person B at an undetermined location, and, after her crash, called Person B and told him or her where she was.

3. Maura never planned on meeting Person B, but, after her crash, called Person B asking for help (or otherwise asking Person B to meet her) and told him or her where she was.

All of the above theories and their variations require evidence of one or both of two facts: (1) Maura was on a pre-planned route when she crashed, or; (2) Maura made a phone call, or both.

My position is, unless I missed something, there is absolutely no evidence that Maura was on a pre-planned route and there is absolutely no evidence that Maura made a phone call. Therefore, there is no evidence that a Person B contributed to Maura's disappearance.

THERE IS NO EVIDENCE THAT MAURA WAS DRIVING A PREDETERMINED ROUTE WHEN SHE CRASHED

There is no evidence that Maura searched for directions that would have included the route that she was on when she crashed. Similarly, there is no evidence that Maura had ever driven by the accident site at any time prior to her crash. Any theory based on the assumption that Maura was following directions, or was familiar with the stretch of rt 112 that she was on when she crashed, is based on assumed facts which we simply don't have.

The only information that we have as to Maura's route is as follows:

According to Scarinza, Maura searched for driving directions to Burlington Vermont on the day she disappeared:

We had an opportunity to look at some of the files on her computer. She had looked at some sites specific to rental properties in the white mountains region of New Hampshire. She finished up working on her computer at about 4 AM. [...] It appears she got back on her computer on the afternoon of the ninth and during the course of a couple hours searched several sites to include getting directions from Amherst Mass to the Burlington Vermont area. https://youtu.be/DpNLkxrtPAw?t=572

In Maura's car, three relevant items were found.

First, the driving directions to Burlington were found on an index card.


From property report




From Family forum

Second, a Vermont Attractions Map was found in Maura's car.




From Property Report

I bought the 2003 Vermont Attractions Map from Ebay (Maura had last been to Vermont in October 2003, so this is likely the edition that she had).

The Crash Site is not on the map, but the exit that Maura is believed to have taken -- exit 17 -- is. And the map shows the route from exit 17 to route 112.




From the Vermont Attractions Map




From Google Maps, as a comparison, showing the crash site.

Third, an Eastern Massachusetts roads map was found in Maura's car.




From Property Report

The bottom line is, there was not a single map or set of directions in Maura's car which included the crash site. There is no evidence that Maura ever searched for directions which would have provided her a route past the crash site.

My personal theory is that Maura had intended to go to Burlington when she searched for the directions to Burlington and that, at some point either before she left or while she was driving, she looked at the Vermont Attractions Map, saw that she could get to rt. 112 off exit 17, and that's why she took exit 17 and ended up on rt. 112 where she crashed. I acknowledge that there is a competing theory that Maura was more or less driving aimlessly, as a way of relieving stress, when she crashed. I acknowledge that this competing theory is plausible.

But any theory that Maura knew where she was when she crashed, or had planned a route ahead of time which included the crash site, is simply not supported by the evidence that we have. For such a theory to work, we have to assume unsupported facts, e.g., Maura theoretically could have had an additional map that she took with her after she crashed. Although such a scenario is theoretically possible, there is simply no evidence to support it. No one has come forward saying that Maura had any additional maps.

In short, based on the information that we have, Maura was not on a predetermined route when she crashed.

THERE IS NO EVIDENCE THAT MAURA MADE A CALL AFTER SHE CRASHED

The only theory that is arguably supported by the evidence that Maura made a call after she crashed is the so-called "whimpering call."

People typically argue that the call could have been Maura because calling cards can't be traced and, accordingly, Maura could have used the calling card again to call Person B and tell him or her of Maura's location. Ultimately, however, it doesn't matter whether local PD traced the call or not. What matters is the fact that Scarinza interviewed the person who made the call using the calling card.

Let me put it this way. Let's pretend that Smith, for whatever reason, lied or was mistaken about tracing the calling card to the Red Cross. We still have Scarinza's statement, reported by James Renner, that he had interviewed the person who had made the call:




From Websleuths

So that leads to the question of how Scarinza would have thought to speak with the Red Cross employee in the first place.

We know that the whimpering call happened after Bill called the Red Cross, because the call was allegedly the Red Cross calling Bill back.

Further, according to Sharon, Bill first noticed the call on the morning of February 11 when he checked his voicemail after going through airport security -- she further stated that he called the calling card back and subsequently called Sharon. https://youtu.be/DpNLkxrtPAw?t=1504.

Based on this information (i.e., that Bill called Red Cross before the whimpering call, and, after the whimpering call, checked his voicemail, called a calling card and then called his parents), we know that Bill necessarily had to have received the whimpering call between 5:37 AM and 5:45 AM on February 11.


From Bill's phone records (I added the text and arrows)

So, to determine who made the call, all Scarinza had to do is go back three calls in Bill's phone records and ask each of the people that Bill had called whether they called him back using the specific card that Bill had called. In other words, Scarinza simply had to read one page of Bill's phone records to get all the information he needed to "trace" the call to the Red Cross.

This wouldn't have required any knowledge of tracing calls. It would only have required Scarinza to dial the three phone numbers from Bill's phone records and interview the individuals who picked up. Scarinza has stated that he, in fact, interviewed the Red Cross worker, and determined that the Red Cross worker made the call. There is simply no reason to question Scarinza on this and any theory that he was mistaken or lied about speaking with the Red Cross worker is not based on the evidence.

In short, based on the information that we have, Maura did not make a call after she crashed.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, because there is no evidence that Maura was on a predetermined route when she crashed and there is no evidence that Maura made a call after she crashed, there is no evidence that a Person B contributed to Maura's disappearance.

This is not my way of saying that such theories shouldn't be investigated. Instead, I think anyone who firmly believes such a theory should go out and investigate in an attempt to develop facts that Maura was on a predetermined route or that she did make a call after she disappeared. If there is a Person B, let's find out who it is so that we can resolve this case.

But as it stands right now, the evidence that we have simply does not support the existence of a Person B.

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Trolled_N_Dupeified

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Re: My thoughts on the Tandem Driver and related theories
« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2019, 07:18:35 pm »
This is fairly well thought out and with the logical issues with a tangent driver, in and of itself, I think one general principle to take from the overall analysis is that unless anyone can overcome these points, that it is illogical for anyone to presume she met anyone up there.

Im not entirely certain she wasn't with someone for the duration of her journey however.

fulkstop

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Re: My thoughts on the Tandem Driver and related theories
« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2019, 07:26:35 pm »
I don't address whether she was with someone for the duration of her journey. You are correct.

TheRealFinn

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Re: My thoughts on the Tandem Driver and related theories
« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2019, 06:34:35 am »
Awesome - I'll read in more depth later but this is outstanding!

I think I may do a blog post on the whimpering call just to clarify - in which case I'll quote some of what you've written here.

Trolled_N_Dupeified

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